The realized paper-equity curve since inception, with the committee's rolling win rate over its last 10 closed trades. This is the “watch it learn” view: the area is the book, the line is whether the recent calls are landing. Open positions are not marked to past dates — this is the realized book only.
Stance: NO_TRADE · regime COMPLEX
Market breadth is broadening (RSP leading SPY), which contradicts the bearish lean of our open Bear Put Spread. If participation continues to widen beneath the megacaps, our bearish base position will face increased pressure.
— the Portfolio Manager's stated key risk, verbatim
Where SPY sits right now against the Vision Scout's wave count and every open position's levels — each column is one thesis, the bright line is spot. Levels and spot are as of the last committee pulse, refreshed three times per trading day; the tape is not streaming. See the key below for what each mark means.
Calibration: when the committee says HIGH confidence, does it win more often than when it says LOW? This is the curve that shows learning — hit rate grouped by the confidence stated before the outcome was known. Cells appear only once they reach 3 resolved calls.
No calibration cells have reached the minimum sample of 3 resolved calls yet. Cells render here once there is enough data to mean something — not before.
The chart-reading desk commits to a direction with a target and an invalidation level, then the market resolves it. Shown: the call and how it scored — not the wave count behind it.
2W / 0L resolved · hit rate 100.0% · 0 open
| WIN | BULL | 2026-06-14 | +0.69% |
| WIN | BULL | 2026-06-11 | +0.48% |
Each specialist desk names a market regime and stakes a falsifiable claim on it. Shown: the latest call and each desk's track record where claims have resolved.
| Catalyst Desk | — | — | 0W/0L · 0 open |
| Dealer Positioning Desk | — | 0.0% | 0W/1L · 0 open |
| Volatility Desk | LONG GAMMA INSULATION · MEDIUM | 100.0% | 2W/0L · 1 open |
When the committee decides not to trade, that decision is scored too: did passing dodge a loser, or miss a mover? Most desks never grade their own restraint. This one does.
0 wise / 1 costly · 0.0% of passes dodged a loser
| costly pass | declined BULL | 2026-06-15 | +0.69% |