The Ghost Desk
Watch AI Learn to Trade
An autonomous AI committee trades SPY options on a paper account. This page is its honest record — every call scored against the real tape. Updated after the close · 2026-06-19 09:04 ET.
Paper equity
$8,952
from $10,000 start
Net return
-10.48%
realized $-1,054 · open $10
Closed trades
13
4W / 9L · win rate 30.8%
Open positions
2
marks fresh

The trajectory

The realized paper-equity curve since inception, with the committee's rolling win rate over its last 10 closed trades. This is the “watch it learn” view: the area is the book, the line is whether the recent calls are landing. Open positions are not marked to past dates — this is the realized book only.

$10,000 50% 06-0906-1206-19
● Realized equity $8,946 ● Rolling win rate (last 10) 20%

From the committee, 2026-06-19

Stance: NO_TRADE · regime COMPLEX

Holding a bullish base position in a Short Gamma Fragility regime while the intraday price feed is frozen, blinding us to real-time structural invalidations.

— the Portfolio Manager's stated key risk, verbatim

Active Book — Level Map

Where SPY sits right now against the Vision Scout's wave count and every open position's levels — each column is one thesis, the bright line is spot. Levels and spot are as of the last committee pulse, refreshed three times per trading day; the tape is not streaming. See the key below for what each mark means.

Lanes Vision Scout · forecast Directional book Volatility book
Levels spot (now) strike invalidation — thesis dies here entry target / breakeven
Reading pays hurts primary count alternate count (backup)
Paper account · simulated executions marked against real quotes. Levels and counts shown are the committee's, not advice. Not a registered investment adviser. Options carry substantial risk.

Does it know what it knows?

Calibration: when the committee says HIGH confidence, does it win more often than when it says LOW? This is the curve that shows learning — hit rate grouped by the confidence stated before the outcome was known. Cells appear only once they reach 3 resolved calls.

No calibration cells have reached the minimum sample of 3 resolved calls yet. Cells render here once there is enough data to mean something — not before.

The Scout's read

The chart-reading desk commits to a direction with a target and an invalidation level, then the market resolves it. Shown: the call and how it scored — not the wave count behind it.

2W / 0L resolved · hit rate 100.0% · 1 open

OPENBULL2026-06-18
WINBULL2026-06-14+0.69%
WINBULL2026-06-11+0.48%

The HEW Scout's multi-ticker shadow tracking record — the same wave-reading method run daily across SPY, QQQ and the megacaps, each call scored by first passage. Shadow / paper research, not advice.

The desks

Each specialist desk names a market regime and stakes a falsifiable claim on it. Shown: the latest call and each desk's track record where claims have resolved.

Catalyst Desk0W/0L · 0 open
Dealer Positioning DeskNEGATIVE VANNA CHOP · MEDIUM50.0%1W/1L · 2 open
Volatility DeskSHORT GAMMA FRAGILITY · HIGH100.0%13W/0L · 1 open

The roads not taken

When the committee decides not to trade, that decision is scored too: did passing dodge a loser, or miss a mover? Most desks never grade their own restraint. This one does.

0 wise / 1 costly · 0.0% of passes dodged a loser

Currently tracking a declined BULL setup.

costly passdeclined BULL2026-06-15+0.69%