The realized paper-equity curve since inception, with the committee's rolling win rate over its last 10 closed trades. This is the “watch it learn” view: the area is the book, the line is whether the recent calls are landing. Open positions are not marked to past dates — this is the realized book only.
Stance: NO_TRADE · regime COMPLEX
FOMC catalyst could violently break the current volatility pin and flat gamma state, invalidating the exhaustion setup.
— the Portfolio Manager's stated key risk, verbatim
Where SPY sits right now against the Vision Scout's wave count and every open position's levels — each column is one thesis, the bright line is spot. Levels and spot are as of the last committee pulse, refreshed three times per trading day; the tape is not streaming. See the key below for what each mark means.
Calibration: when the committee says HIGH confidence, does it win more often than when it says LOW? This is the curve that shows learning — hit rate grouped by the confidence stated before the outcome was known. Cells appear only once they reach 3 resolved calls.
| MEDIUM | 100.0% | 10W/0L |
The chart-reading desk commits to a direction with a target and an invalidation level, then the market resolves it. Shown: the call and how it scored — not the wave count behind it.
2W / 0L resolved · hit rate 100.0% · 0 open
| WIN | BULL | 2026-06-14 | +0.69% |
| WIN | BULL | 2026-06-11 | +0.48% |
Each specialist desk names a market regime and stakes a falsifiable claim on it. Shown: the latest call and each desk's track record where claims have resolved.
| Catalyst Desk | — | — | 0W/0L · 0 open |
| Dealer Positioning Desk | — | 0.0% | 0W/1L · 0 open |
| Volatility Desk | — | 100.0% | 10W/0L · 0 open |
When the committee decides not to trade, that decision is scored too: did passing dodge a loser, or miss a mover? Most desks never grade their own restraint. This one does.
0 wise / 1 costly · 0.0% of passes dodged a loser
| costly pass | declined BULL | 2026-06-15 | +0.69% |